Mental models/Optimism Bias
Behavioral & Decision Making

Optimism Bias

The tendency to overestimate the likelihood of positive events and underestimate the likelihood of negative events in one's own future.

In plain language

People consistently overestimate positive outcomes and underestimate negative ones for themselves. Onboarding flows exploit this — users believe they'll use the product more than they will.

In the wild

Implementations of this model aren’t wired to this view yet — they live in the implementations table.

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